Several Key Factors Drive The Real Estate Market

Jan 26, 2024 By Susan Kelly

It's safe to say that real estate makes up a sizeable chunk of most people's wealth, but this is particularly true for a good number of homeowners in the United States. In 2019, the Survey of Consumer Finances conducted by the Federal Reserve found that 64.9% of American households owned their main home outright. Many investors are drawn to the real estate industry because of its size and scope, making it an appealing and profitable sector. In this post, we will look at some of the most important elements that influence the real estate market and the many investment opportunities out there.


Demographics


Demographics are facts that indicate the makeup of a population, such as age, income, gender, and population growth. Some examples of demographics are age, income, and population growth. These data are an often-overlooked but crucial component that influences how real estate is valued and the sorts of houses in demand. Significant changes in the nation's population structure may have a reverberating effect on real estate market tendencies that can last for many decades.


One example of a demographic shift that can severely impact the real estate market is the baby boomer generation, including those born between 1945 and 1964. The process through which these baby boomers are transitioning into retirement is one of the most remarkable generational phenomena in the last century. The retirement of these baby boomers, which started in 2010, is certain to be observed in the market for decades to come.


Interest Rates


The interest rate environment also has a significant influence on the housing market. It is in your best interest to research current interest rates utilizing a mortgage calculator if you are contemplating financing the purchase of a property. Alterations in interest rates have the potential to have a significant impact on a person's ability to buy a house or apartment. This is because when interest rates go down, the cost of obtaining a mortgage to purchase a property will also go cheaper. This results in an increased demand for real estate, which once again drives up prices.


It is essential to be aware that an increase in the interest rate will increase the cost of obtaining a mortgage, leading to a decrease in both demands for real estate and pricing. However, when looking at the influence of interest rates on an equity investment such as a REIT, rather than the impact on residential real estate, the connection may be considered comparable to the relationship that bonds have with interest rates. The value of a bond goes up as interest rates go down because the bond's coupon rate becomes more attractive; conversely, the value of bonds goes down when interest rates go up because they become less desirable. Similarly, as market interest rates go down, the high yields that REITs provide become more appealing, and the value of these investments rises. When interest rates go up, the return on a REIT becomes less appealing, which brings to a decline in the value of these investments.



Economy


The situation of the economy as a whole is another important component that plays a role in determining the value of real estate. In most cases, this is evaluated using economic metrics such as the gross domestic product (GDP), employment statistics, industrial activity, pricing of items, etc. Generally, the status of the real estate market mirrors that of the economy.


However, the economy's cyclical nature may have diverse impacts on different forms of real estate, and these effects might vary significantly from one type to another. For instance, a real estate investment trust (REIT) with a greater proportion of its holdings invested in hotels is likely to be more negatively impacted. Due to the nature of the lease structure inherent in the hotel industry, hotels are a sort of property that is highly responsive to the level of economic activity. Renting a hotel room may be compared to signing a lease for a shorter period. Hotel guests can simply avoid signing such leases if the economy is terrible.


Government Policies/Subsidies


Legislation is another factor that may significantly influence both the demand for and the price of real estate. There are a few ways in which the government may temporarily raise demand for real estate for as long as they are in place, and some of these methods include tax credits, deductions, and subsidies. If you are aware of the present government incentives, it will be easier for you to recognize potentially misleading patterns and assess supply and demand changes.


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